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#weaksignals

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Seppo<p>We have to <a class="hashtag" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23StandUpForScience" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StandUpForScience</a>! Without scientists we roam in the darkness. <a class="hashtag" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23ClimateChange" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a class="hashtag" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23BiodiversityCrisis" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BiodiversityCrisis</a> <a class="hashtag" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23WeakSignals" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WeakSignals</a></p>
Paul Graham Raven<p>we can only do what we can do</p><p><a href="https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/we-can-only-do-what-we-can-do/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">velcro-city.co.uk/we-can-only-</span><span class="invisible">do-what-we-can-do/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Criticism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Criticism</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Futures" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Futures</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Movies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Movies</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Technology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Technology</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/WeakSignals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>WeakSignals</span></a></p>
Paul Graham Raven<p>paradigms don’t die easy (but they die all the same)</p><p><a href="https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/paradigms-dont-die-easy-but-they-die-all-the-same/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">velcro-city.co.uk/paradigms-do</span><span class="invisible">nt-die-easy-but-they-die-all-the-same/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Politics</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/WeakSignals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>WeakSignals</span></a></p>
Paul Graham Raven<p>preludes to enantiodromia</p><p><a href="https://www.velcro-city.co.uk/preludes-to-enantiodromia/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">velcro-city.co.uk/preludes-to-</span><span class="invisible">enantiodromia/</span></a></p><p><a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/Futures" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Futures</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/SocialTheory" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SocialTheory</span></a> <a href="https://assemblag.es/tags/WeakSignals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>WeakSignals</span></a></p>
oatmeal<p>[cont’d] <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/WeakSignals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>WeakSignals</span></a> / A more reliable coverage of this major intelligence failure can be found in Haaretz’s news section:</p><p>Intelligence agencies identified the activation of hundreds of Israeli SIM cards by Hamas members in <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Gaza" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Gaza</span></a>, hours before the massacre on October 7th. This signaled an abnormal mobilization and prompted overnight consultations, but security officials ultimately did not give it proper weight and the prevailing assessment was that it was just a Hamas drill. </p><p>The Shin Bet claimed that the movement identified within the Strip was a drill, and Military Intelligence concurred with this assessment and did not recommend raising any level of alert. This was the case in both consultations, a few hours apart. No steps were taken, based on the Shin Bet's recommendation and with the approval of the highest military level.</p><p><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Haaretz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Haaretz</span></a> <a href="https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politics/2024-02-26/ty-article/.highlight/0000018d-e56d-d7f4-a3dd-e76d71770000" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">haaretz.co.il/news/politics/20</span><span class="invisible">24-02-26/ty-article/.highlight/0000018d-e56d-d7f4-a3dd-e76d71770000</span></a> or <a href="https://archive.is/S6bxB" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">archive.is/S6bxB</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/israel" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>israel</span></a></span><br><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/palestine" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>palestine</span></a></span></p>